Kindle Fire, a business question

The Kindle Fire is a wi-fi only device which is first and foremost designed to consume content from Amazon. I wonder whether the business model would support Amazon offering free mobile connectivity (3G) with the Fire, as it did for the Kindle.

From the consumer's point of view, the benefit is obvious, even if there is a charge or some data cap to access non-Amazon content (like browsing or using non-Amazon apps).

From the carrier's point of view, this would solve a pricing problem (how to charge for connectivity and bandwidth), as they would get paid more or less proportionally to the bandwidth used.

Finally, for Amazon this would greatly increase the attractiveness of the Fire to consumers, simplify the consumer's experience (no data contract, no monthly fee or data cap except for non-Amazon services), and help sell more of its content.

The question is whether this is financially doable. It seems to have worked for the Kindle. But e-books do fetch a higher price relative to bandwidth than do movies or music.

I ♥ Patent Trolls

This may surprise you given all the recent animosity towards patent trolls, in particular in the tech and software fields. What I love about patent trolls is that they reveal the brittleness of the concept of "intellectual property". The trolls' abuses should make it obvious that any patenting is trolling. I hope this will bring people to realize that IP laws are illegitimate and should be repealed (both copyrights and patents, but I'll focus on patents for now), and that there can be no right to own an idea or invention.

What is a patent troll? The most common usage relates to companies that hold and enforce patent portfolios for inventions they are not actively manufacturing. But it is also starting to be used more generally, when the patent is being used against competition, even when the invention is being developed (the patent war in the mobile technology, for instance), or when the patent covers a trivial or common idea.

 

The broader interpretation should strike you as extremely subjective. After all, the purpose of a patent is to grant its holder monopoly control over the invention. The holder may choose to license it to others, or not. If it is the holder's property, why can't they enforce their ownership unconditionally and universally? When is it "unduly aggressive or opportunistic"?

But even considering the narrower definition, it is difficult to see what exactly the troll is doing wrong. If ideas and inventions were truly property, it shouldn't matter how the owner is using it. Is stealing a bicycle from the store less of a crime simply because the bicycle is apparently idle? Is the store owner a troll for holding the bicycle and demanding payment from those that want to use his bicycle (even if he's not actively riding it)?

It shouldn't even matter whether the holder actively pursues infringers. If stealing is wrong, the public at large would treat the infringers as criminals even if the patent owner didn't notice the theft or isn't pursing the criminal. Think of how you would react when witnessing a thief stealing a car (even if there are no cops chasing him). If patents were legitimate property, maybe the patent office or third parties should be allowed to pursue any infringer, regardless of the choice of the patent holder?

 

One thing is clear: IP laws are full of subjectivity (what is a distinct or novel invention? when does inspiration become copying?), arbitrariness (if you really own that idea, how come you only get to own it for 15 or 25 years? why are patents allowed in some fields but not others?) and manifest contradictions (simultaneously aiming for stricter enforcement and less enforcement/trolling).

As explained by Stephen Kinsella in Against Intellectual Property, the key to unraveling the mess is realizing that intellectual property cannot really be property as it is incompatible with actual property. The summarized reasoning is that ideas, unlike bicycles, are not rivalrous (my using your idea isn't taking it away from you, as you still have it) and that enforcing patent laws necessarily involves violating property rights (why can't I use my body, my brain and my property, materials and tools, to build a any mouse trap, including one similar to yours?).

 

Blind to those moral and philosophical considerations, some still pursue the illusion of a "better patent system" supposing that patents bring some greater social good, namely that they encourage innovation and increases.

But such empirical claims beg empirical validation. As detailed by Boldrin and Levine in Against Intellectual Monopoly, it turns out that IP laws do not promote innovation on net. The incentives brought about by the IP protection are outweighed by the disincentives of the patent minefield (often controlled by large incumbents and so-called patent trolls), the wasteful workarounds to step around the mines (invent substitutes instead of taking advantage of prior inventions), the reduced pressure to keep inventing to stay ahead, and the costly litigation (diverting massive resources away from valuable R&D).

Why We Should Thank the Chinese Currency Manipulators

If you wouldn't object to China sending products to the United States for free, then on what basis would you object to currency “manipulation” that allows you to purchase undervalued Chinese imports at a huge discount and great bargain?

Mark Perry remarks an astute parallel between currency devaluation ("predatory pricing") and foreign aid. Read his article.

Head Mounted Displays

I've been watching the HMD scene for many years now, yearning for decent devices. We may have now reached a tipping point, with multiple hi-def products announced or released in the last couple months.

The first of the bunch was the Sony HMZ-T1. It was followed by the SiliconMicroDisplay ST1080 (no sales price announced yet), and Epson's Moverio BT-100.
I'm also excited by Apple's rumored interest in that field.

Some features that differentiate those products:

  • Resolution and image quality,
  • Mobility and battery life,
  • Price,
  • Opacity/transparency,
  • 3D.

One feature that is not yet offered is head tracking. Based on my experience with the HMZ-T1, this will improve the experience in gaming (I tried the latest Modern Warfare and Gears of War). Some hackers are experimenting with that already.

That said, I'm quite impressed with the image quality of Sony's HMZ-T1, both in 2D and 3D.
I only tried 3D content in the store because I couldn't get the 3D to work on my Xbox with Gears of War. The game seems to deliver 3D by splitting the display into left vs. right side, but the display expects two HDMI channels.
The 5.1 surround sound could be improved. The directional effect is nowhere as good as my Tritton AX360.
Finally, the weight and comfort remain an issue for prolonged usage.

What markets say

Steps in the right direction are likely to be taken, both in relation to Greece, and in relation to bank recap and improved sovereign support. But it is unlikely to be the 'bazooka' the market has been hoping for in recent weeks.

We often hear that markets want such and such policy. Or that some changes in the market were caused by some announcement. Such narrative is attractive for the media, but such claims have no rigor or value.
The only information generated by markets (of any kind) are prices and trade records. Anything else is speculation or anecdotal opinion (often from a single perspective, such as sellers), if not plain propaganda.

Logicology: Dear, Occupy Wall Street. You are the "1%" too.

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Good message to put things in perspective (not that they aren't plenty of things wrong with the current system).
The "Occupy" movement makes me curious about one thing: in the US, who are the 1%? I'd assume some bankers, CEOs and successful entrepreneurs, celebrity artists and athletes.
I'd suggest the protesters find out and try to understand how these individuals built their wealth, before making demands to pull them down.
HT Sean Malone